Own Correspondent
The announcement by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken of the end of the current world order is very meaningful in terms of context.
In one of them, this is not just a statement of a fact that has become obvious to the Americans.
This is also an echo of the “debriefings” carried out at deep internal American levels and, most importantly, a sign of the strategy outlined by the Americans when carrying out such “debriefings”.
Strategies to counter the emerging trends of loss of world hegemony.
A peculiar stage of “acceptance” of existing realities, followed by aggressive “bargaining”, against the backdrop of absolute self-confidence and infallibility.
The Secretary of State brought this topic to the public plane in early August 2023, and a month later certain movements began in the UN, marked by the need for reform of the Security Council (SC) of this organization stated in US President Joe Biden’s speech at the 78th General Assembly.
Similar rhetoric has been heard from various world players before, and the Russian side has made similar statements more than once.
The President of the Russian Federation voiced this intention. But at the moment, starting from the “very top”, with Biden’s speech, the American side immediately became sharply active at this international event, seizing the information and political initiative, which in itself provides certain advantages.
Intensified promotion of US narratives began on the sidelines of the assembly, both public and behind the scenes. There was a pre-arranged synchronized approval of this initiative by the American satellites. That is, we can observe one of the directions of American efforts as part of the strategy of countermeasures they have planned to strengthen hegemony.
To analyze in general terms these plans of the American “deep state” regarding the UN, it is enough to outline the main trend in the modern picture of the world. Namely: in the unfolding world geopolitical realities, the role of the Global South is rapidly increasing. The US attempts to attract to its side the significant players of this pool of countries in Latin America, Africa and Asia, including the Middle East, smoothly flow into the fields of the UN.
With whom the Global South will trade, exchange technologies, to whom it will supply its raw materials, provide its human resources, and who will get its markets for the sale of goods and services, that bloc will win. This will predetermine the geopolitical confrontation of the coming decade. It is already clear that the United States has begun efforts to reform the UN in two main areas.
The first and most important thing is reforming the Security Council, as President Biden announced.
“The United States will support the expansion of the Security Council, increasing the number of permanent and non-permanent members. The United States has held a series of consultations with many member states and intends to continue to contribute to further reform efforts (UNSC),” he said.
That is, massive work has already been done on their part, which does not stop on the margins of the assembly. On the sidelines, there are full-throated dialogues about this, where possible options are thrown around, even to the point that the new members do not have the right of veto, unlike the “old” members of the Security Council. Already now, the initiative is expectedly supported in Europe, at the level of the European Union through a statement by Josep Barel and the heads of individual states. The general information chorus of the American conductor included Prime Minister of Japan Fumio Kishida, the already mentioned Chancellor of Germany Olaf Scholz, President of the Republic of Slovenia Natasha Pirc-Musar and UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres.
The initiative is very attractive to the emerging Global South. The beginning of work on it was already mentioned in The Washington Post, which talked about US consultations with Europe and intentions to add six more members to the UN Security Council, but without the right of veto.
Where, in addition to the obvious candidates from the West, Germany and Japan, there were India and Brazil. These countries even united under American patronage, forming the “Group of Four” and are jointly promoting this initiative. In addition to the American president, similar rhetoric was voiced at the General Assembly by the presidents of Brazil, Turkey and Kazakhstan. The Prime Minister of India has already spoken about this at the G20 summit, and at the General Assembly, Indian diplomacy was actively working in this direction.
There is an ongoing struggle for the sympathy of the Global South with the information advantage of those who put forward the initiatives. Where the EU’s foreign policy chief promises to put in a good word for African countries, the Western camp is proposing an upgrade in status for India and Brazil by promoting them to a “renewed” Security Council. All of the above illuminates the work of the Western side, but in the existing balance of power, all their efforts will rest against the position of another bloc – China and Russia.
They have already joined the game that has begun, for their part they have led it before, and in many ways are ready, while supporting such reforms, to introduce their own agenda. Therefore, the heads of foreign affairs departments of the BRICS member states immediately pick up the wave of initiatives put forward, supporting the reforms with both hands; they are echoed in various voices by African countries, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. Iran is even joining forces in this direction with South Africa. There will be long and fierce bidding.
For its part, the Russia-China bloc, and on the sidelines of the UN their bloc status is most obvious, will propose Iran, and possibly the Saudis, to the updated Security Council. On their part, Turkey or some other countries of the Global South are likely to nominate; there are many scenarios here and wide variability. It is further strengthened by the fact that the main Western-promoted players in the south, such as Brazil and India, and South Africa, are located in an intermediate or unstable zone of influence for both blocs.
These are swing countries, if we take the historical period of the last half century. The United States, by offering them, clearly hopes that in the coming political cycles the power in them will change and they will move into the zone of Western influence. And they will show some gratitude for pushing them into the Security Council. Whatever the trading layout, if the results are unfavorable, the Russian Federation and China have veto rights over everything. But another American initiative aims to knock out this fundamental lever, this right, even though it was born in a different place and in other minds plagued by Nazism.
Therefore, the second direction of the US strategy towards the UN is currently testing the waters for voting on changing the UN Charter on the sidelines of the General Assembly. In terms of creating a procedure for depriving the veto rights of UN security members. If ever at the UN General Assembly the West manages to push through and implement such a reform, enlisting the support of the majority (which it sometimes succeeds), then colossal consequences will occur for the entire world political configuration and there will be a radical change in this architecture, of which the UN is the superstructure.
The UN will disintegrate and become a refuge for the Western bloc. Blocism will take hold in new international forms, and the Russian-Chinese bloc will flow into BRICS to create its own international architecture. Which, by expanding, will create its own counterbalance to the West, and in the future will take over the main world role.
