Inflation spikes following Zim dollar rout

Consumers under more strain

TENDAIISHE NYAMUKUNDA

 

Zimbabwe’s inflation rate surged in the month of January  as the Zimbabwe dollar rout  drove up the prices of goods and services , creating concerns  for consumer spending  since  it depletes  real income, Business Times can report.

Annual inflation rate for January, according to ZIMSTATS, rose to 34.8% from 26.5% in December 2023.

The unprecedented dip  in the value of the Zimbabwe dollar, which yesterday traded at between ZWL$16 000:US$1 and ZWL$17 000:US1 , up from ZWL$8 000 at the beginning of January 2024 on the parallel market  left consumers  stretching their dollars  more for a few items.

On the formal market such as the willing seller-willing buyer, the Zimbabwe dollar was yesterday trading at ZWL$10 152: US$1, up from about ZWL$5 900 in January 2024.

According to ZIMSTATS the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 120.67 in January 2024, 113.22 in December 2023 and in January 2023 the index was 89.49.

Between January 2023 and January 2024  the index rose by 31.18.

The month -on -month food and non-alcoholic Beverage  inflation rate was 15.0% in January 2024, before gaining by 6.4 % points on the December  2023 rate of 8.4 %. January 2024 month -on -month  non-food inflation  rate was 2.5%, shedding 0.4%points on the December rate of 2.9 %.

In addition,  ZIMSTATS said the continuous inflation rates were forcing the rise of prices of basic commodities  and services , as well as  the loss of value of  Zimbabwe dollar against the US dollar.

According to economist, Dr. Prosper Chitambara, inflation has a significant negative influence on the economic standards because it undermines economic confidence, reduces economic competitiveness, and encourages income erosion.

“Inflation is an indirect tax on incomes so it affects businesses and consumers  alike in that it causes an erosion of incomes, it also weakens  confidence in the economy, it creates uncertainties and self-feeling expectations which then drives the inflation spiral, “Chitambara  said.

He added: “So inflation is not good for the economy, it ultimately erodes our competitiveness as an economy.”

Chitambara added that this year’s inflation rate is probably going to soar.

“It is going to increase maybe for the next few months in the short term, then in the medium and long term it is going to depend on what the agriculture  sector  or agriculture  performance  if we have good,  a normal season then there will be lesser pressure on food prices but if the output is below normal that is going to put a lot of pressure on food  prices, ” Chitambara said.

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